12 PROPS & PREDICTION FOR SUPER BOWL LX
- Huncho Gambles
- 6 days ago
- 7 min read
There’s only two major sporting events where it’s never frown upon if you gamble. March Madness and the Super Bowl. Whether it’s the random props you can gamble on or everyone getting together to watch one game it’s almost holiday worthy. Some are watching the game for separate reasons such as commercials, gambling, halftime show, or just simply fans of the NFL. It’s a sports extravaganza highlighted as the biggest yearly event in the United States. Below we have 12 props that I have 100% confidence in. My favorite props/pairs are listed all the way at the bottom of the article. As well as my “Big 3 Chalkboard” lay to win $323. The biggest key to gambling on the Super Bowl is finding multiple apps/books to find props. Even though you should be doing this anyways it’s very important on the Super Bowl because there will be a lot of deals/offers. For example the two apps I used for some of the plays below are on Chalkboard & Kalshi. When download Chalkboard and use my code “HUNCHO” you get a 100% deposit match, Kenneth Walker free square, & multiple payout boost. All links are at the end of this article but let’s get into the Super Bowl.
Prediction:
New England Patriots 24
Seattle Seahawks 20
We might get to see Mike Vabrel cut his dick off on national television. Im going with the experinced staff against the young Mike McDonald. First off you have two weeks to gameplan against Sam Darnold in the biggest game of his life. The man we once known to see ghost has yet to play bad in the playoffs. Against the 49ers he had an easy game barely getting hit and simply making the right plays. He only threw for 124 yards and one touchdown but this New England defense is no joke. Expect Darnold to get pressured all night and will have to look elsewhere once he realizes JSN will be shutdown. Offensively I shockingly trust Josh McDaniels over Klint Kubiack in this game due to him coaching in 9 Super Bowls. This game will have some turnovers and will give up big plays, I think Patriots pull it out in one of the best bowls we’ve seen in the past ten years.
FAVORITES:
Cooper Kupp will have 30+ receiving yards (-133) (Kalshi)
The only Seattle receiver with Super Bowl experience and even better a man who has a Super Bowl MVP. Kupp has seen a significant increase in targets and production this playoff run earning 25% more targets during the postseason. With Christian Gonzalez most likely following JSN all game I expect Kupp to step up. He’s hit this in both playoff games and four out of the last six games.
2nd half will be the highest scoring half (-111) (Betr)
In the last 25 Super Bowls sixteen of them have had a higher scoring 2nd half. Most Super Bowls start off slower due to nerves, game planning, and etc. With both of these head coaches having their Super Bowl coaching debut there's good reason to believe we see the same results this year. Even in the regular season both of these teams defensively were very good in the first half. Seattle allowed the least point average only giving up 7.5 first half points with New England ranking 6th allowing only 9.1 points.
Christian Gonzalez gets an interception (+650) (Sportsbook)
I don’t trust Sam Darnold, somewhere deep inside he’s still seeing ghosts. New England's defense has been outstanding this postseason allowing only 26 points throughout three games. One of the biggest reasons is because of the leader of this defense, Christian Gonzalez. He’s been trailing the best receiver all playoffs and has seen amazing results. Allowing only a 39.3 completion percentage with the opportunity to trail one of the best receivers in the game, Jaxson Smith Njigba all game. His 39.3% completion percentage allowed is the lowest by any player to face 25+ targets in a postseason since at least 2018. JSN will be targeted all game which gives us the edge of Gonzalez potentially getting an interception.
Kayshon Boutte has the longest reception in the Super Bowl (+750) (Sportsbook)
What if I told you he has the second best odds at +750 to hit this prop. I truly beleive Christian Gonzalez and etc will help contain Jaxson Smith Njigba, with that being said we wont see him catch any deep balls. That leaves us with Maye's favorite deep target, I can’t take full credit for this. Filmwatchers did an amazing job breaking it down
Special Super Bowl Props:
Stefon Diggs anytime touchdown (+244) (Kalshi)
Who would have thought Diggs would be in a Super Bowl before Josh Allen? Arguably the most popular player and shockingly the offensive leader in New England showed he’s not washed yet. Diggs has the team's second highest target rate in the end zone. He’ll be matched up against Devin Witherspoon and Nick Emmanwori all night but I believe he’ll get the young fellas to bite on some routes near the redzone. The Seahawks play zone coverage among the top 5 in the league where Diggs excels ranking 11th in zone coverage this year. I mean look at the fit he’s rolling up to the Super Bowl in and got the baddest woman rapper Cardi B on his side, speaking of Cardi.
Cardi B will NOT perform at the Super Bowl (+101) (Kalshi)
Everyone loves Cardi B and wants her to perform but that isn’t gonna happen. She’s already performing at the Fanatics Super Bowl party so why the Super Bowl as well? Her and Bad Bunny have only one song together, yes it is very popular but Bad Bunny has many other popular songs. With what’s going on with ICE wouldn’t be surprised to have different Puertorican/Mexican performers join him. She emphasized last year that she’s turned down performing at the Super Bowl because she wants to have more hits. She only has one song with Bad Bunny from 2018 and if you’re not familiar with Bad Bunny he has a huge catalog. Expect Cardi B to be at the Super Bowl only to support her man Stefon Diggs.
Kenneth Walker Super Bowl MVP (+1011) (Kalshi)
I’ll say it again, I don't trust Sam Darnold. Now lets say I'm wrong and Seattle wins. It happens but Kenneth Walker will be the reason why they win. New England's secondary is very good so I expect Seattle to lean on Kenneth Walker. Seattle Seahawks backup Zach Cardonnet is out for this game which means a full workload for Walker. He’s also very underrated in the pass game where I think that’ll be the difference. As I said earlier the Patriots blitz at a heavy rate so those check downs to Walker will be key. I have a feeling this is going to be an uglier game than people imagine but I got Seattle winning. Yes I understand that a running back hasn’t been Super Bowl MVP since 1997. However if Walker can get 100+ scrimmage yards with two touchdowns we’ll be seeing him lift up that Super Bowl MVP trophy.
Christian Gonzalez Super Bowl MVP (+9900) (Kalshi)
My eyes don't lie, this is the best cornerback in the NFL. I believe New England will win this game and Gonzalez will be the reason why. Drake Maye has been playing just good enough in this playoff run and I don't expect him to suddenly pull off a MVP performance. His shoulder injury is concerning and the offensive line has been mediocre while the Patriots defense has been carrying. If you give a team two weeks to prepare for Sam Darnold he's going to force them to make mistakes. If Christian Gonzalez can shut down JSN and get an interception he could end up winning MVP. This wouldn't be the first time we've seen a player from the secondary win Super Bowl MVP, its happened three times in NFL history.
Jack Westover anytime touchdown (+3500) (Sportsbook)
Does Josh McDaniels have something up his sleeve? I think so and that something is Jack Westover. Starting fullback who was a former tight end has seen a good amount of snaps this season yet only has two receptions. Looking over film he’s been used various times in the flat and in goal line situations as a blocker. Very long shot to actually hit but I’m willing to chance it. I give credit to His sister already hit a $13,000 bet that Seattle & New England will be in the Super Bowl, why not cash us out too?
Chalkboard Big 3 Parlay:
DeMarcus Lawrence o0.5 sacks
Drake Maye might be fighting for his life this Sunday. Maye has been sacked the second most times in a postseason run in NFL history. Rookie left tackle Will Campbell has struggled this postseason coming off an injury. It’s not just Campbell though this whole offensive line stinks. Seattle hasn’t been great at getting after the quarterback this postseason but Lawrence has gotten a sack in both playoff games. I trust Lawrence because in the Super Bowl experience beats talent.
TreVeyon Henderson o0.5 1Q rushing yards
The biggest question mark of the Super Bowl is how big of an impact will Henderson play. Last game against Denver he only played four snaps with Vabrel trusting Stevenson in terrible conditions. However if you disregard that game Henderson has seen decent enough reps throughout the season. One of the most underrated storylines that hasn’t been talked about is Drake Maye's shoulder and New England’s offensive line. Those two things are a recipe for trying to get the run game going early. I think both running backs will get some carries early on to see if Henderson can catch lightning in a bottle. Especially due to Stevenson being an inside run back going up against Leonard Williams and Byron Murphy.
Sam Darnold o6.5 rushing yards
Even though I don’t trust Darnold I do trust his legs. After he throws his first turnover he’ll get the message to either scramble or throw it away. New England has a 44% pressure rate this season and has turned up the heat this playoffs.
Favorite props in order:
2nd half will be the highest scoring half (-111) (Betr) ($1000 to win $1,900)
Kayshon Boutte has the longest reception in the Super Bowl (+750) ($100 to win $850)
Cooper Kupp gets 30+ receiving yards (-133) (Kalshi) (Kupp/Diggs parlay $44.96 to win $267)
Christian Gonzalez gets an interception (+650) ($130 to win $975)
Demarcus Lawrence o0.5 sacks (Chalkboard $50 parlay to win $323)
Cardi B will NOT perform at the Super Bowl (+108) (Kalshi) ($49.72 to win $102)
Sam Darnold o6.5 rushing yards (Chalkboard $50 parlay to win $323)
Stefon Diggs anytime touchdown (+233) (Kalshi) (Kupp/Diggs parlay $44.96 to win $267)
TreVeyon Henderson o0.5 1Q rushing yards (Chalkboard $50 parlay to win $323)
Christian Gonzalez Super Bowl MVP (+9900) (Kalshi) ($30 to win $2805)
Jack Westover anytime touchdown (+3500) ($20 to win $720)
Kenneth Walker Super Bowl MVP (+1011) (Kalshi) ($13.79 to win $144)
Links:
Kalshi (use code HUNCHO to get $10)
Chalkboard (use code HUNCHO to get a 100% deposit match, Kenneth Walker free square, & two payout boost)
Betr ( use code IHATEPRIZEPICKS for a 100% deposit match & a free $10)